QCSunny Lab

Probability Distribution (Binomial · Poisson)概率分布(二项 · 泊松)

Binomial needs n and p; Poisson needs λ. k is the value to evaluate at.二项分布填 n 和 p;泊松分布填 λ。k 为待评估的取值。

Binomial and Poisson probabilities: P(X = k), the cumulative P(X ≤ k), mean and variance, plus a small table around k. All mass functions are computed in log space (Lanczos ln-Γ), so B(10000, 0.5) is as comfortable as a coin flip.

The normal distribution has its own tool (with the interactive curve), and hypothesis testing its own — this page covers the two discrete workhorses.

Frequently asked questions

How large can n get?

Computation is log-space, so overflow is not the limit — your patience for a cumulative sum is. n up to a few thousand rounds instantly; the cumulative caps at a million terms.

When do I use Poisson instead of binomial?

Poisson approximates binomial when n is large and p is small (rule of thumb: n ≥ 20, p ≤ 0.05) — it models rare-event counts per interval.

中文说明

二项与泊松分布概率:P(X = k)、累积 P(X ≤ k)、均值与方差,外加 k 附近的小表格。质量函数全部在对数空间(Lanczos ln-Γ)计算,B(10000, 0.5) 和抛硬币一样轻松。

正态分布有专属工具(含交互曲线),假设检验也有专属页——本页补的是两个最常用的离散分布。

常见问题

n 最大能到多少?

对数空间计算,瓶颈不是溢出而是你等累积和的耐心。几千以内瞬间出结果;累积求和上限一百万项。

什么时候用泊松代替二项?

n 大 p 小时(经验法则:n ≥ 20 且 p ≤ 0.05)泊松近似二项——它刻画单位区间内的稀有事件计数。